Statistics Profile

Carina Kong

2004

Penta Olympic Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2265	1711 - 2818	2050	2265
Épée	Direct elimination	1831	635 - 3026	1831	2151
Foil	Pool	2541	1786 - 3295	2541	2541
Foil	Direct elimination	2466	1262 - 3669	2466	2466

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.