Statistics Profile

Julian Detering

2006

Silicon Valley Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2051	1380 - 2721	2051	2051
Épée	Direct elimination	2821	1791 - 3850	2821	2821
Foil	Pool	2852	2683 - 3020	2049	2862
Foil	Direct elimination	2880	2710 - 3049	2079	3217

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.