Statistics Profile

Jason Ferguson

2005

Wasatch Fencing

Is this your profile? Register with your USFA ID to claim it.

Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2021	1794 - 2247	1769	2099
Épée	Direct elimination	1956	1535 - 2376	1917	2227
Foil	Pool	1570	1193 - 1946	1415	1798
Foil	Direct elimination	1442	670 - 2213	1442	2659
Saber	Pool	1617	1045 - 2188	1585	1617
Saber	Direct elimination	1788	1038 - 2537	1788	1802

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.