Statistics Profile

Adrian Wong

2008

University Of Notre Dame NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2584	2317 - 2850	2283	2785
Épée	Direct elimination	2901	2414 - 3387	2901	4023
Foil	Pool	2946	2773 - 3118	2733	3606
Foil	Direct elimination	3213	3029 - 3396	3110	3632

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.