Statistics Profile

Julia Davis

2003

Still Point Fencing Wildcat Fencing-University of Arizona

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2381	2119 - 2642	2127	2984
Épée	Direct elimination	2371	1985 - 2756	2174	2371
Foil	Pool	1801	1568 - 2033	1320	1870
Foil	Direct elimination	1808	1422 - 2193	1808	2722

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.