Statistics Profile

Robin Hu

2002

Polaris Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2133	1393 - 2872	2133	2133
Épée	Direct elimination	2269	1174 - 3363	2269	2269
Foil	Pool	2677	2505 - 2848	2662	3191
Foil	Direct elimination	2731	2466 - 2995	2538	2954

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.