Statistics Profile

Conall Gouveia

2004

Down East School of Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2244	1495 - 2992	2244	2244
Épée	Direct elimination	2247	836 - 3657	2247	2247
Saber	Pool	1515	649 - 2380	1515	1515
Saber	Direct elimination	1878	593 - 3162	1878	1878

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.