Statistics Profile

Jacob Mitkoff

2006

RPI College Fencing Club Capital District Fencing School

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	517	0 - 1053	517	952
Épée	Direct elimination	1359	545 - 2172	1359	1831
Saber	Pool	1325	752 - 1897	1325	1798
Saber	Direct elimination	2479	1637 - 3320	2333	2479

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.