Statistics Profile

Alexander Rauccio

2001

Shoreline Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2251	1503 - 2998	2251	2251
Épée	Direct elimination	2438	1226 - 3649	2438	2438
Foil	Pool	2569	997 - 4140	2569	2569
Saber	Pool	2043	1768 - 2317	1541	2323
Saber	Direct elimination	2131	1754 - 2507	1901	2333

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.