Statistics Profile

Andrew Smith

1975

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2450	2133 - 2766	2400	2792
Épée	Direct elimination	2839	2440 - 3237	2832	3344
Foil	Pool	1906	841 - 2970	1906	1906
Foil	Direct elimination	1774	560 - 2987	1774	1774

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.