Statistics Profile

Phi Hou

1978

Nova Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2097	1591 - 2602	1613	2097
Épée	Direct elimination	1904	943 - 2864	1904	1913
Foil	Pool	2278	1848 - 2707	2278	3004
Foil	Direct elimination	2085	1284 - 2885	1942	2336

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.