Statistics Profile

Brendan Barber

2003

University of Incarnate Word Fencing NCAA Fencing Academy Of Denver

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1466	633 - 2298	1466	1466
Saber	Pool	2688	2511 - 2864	2096	2747
Saber	Direct elimination	2824	2542 - 3105	2079	2843

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.