Statistics Profile

Jayden Breton

2005

University of Incarnate Word Fencing NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2407	2232 - 2581	1724	2453
Épée	Direct elimination	2598	2369 - 2826	2097	2654
Saber	Pool	2002	803 - 3200	2002	2002
Saber	Direct elimination	2207	818 - 3595	2207	2207

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.