Statistics Profile

Mara Quarles

2006

Mississippi Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1698	918 - 2477	1698	1698
Épée	Direct elimination	2389	1200 - 3577	2389	2389
Foil	Pool	1753	1445 - 2060	1608	2896
Foil	Direct elimination	2155	1671 - 2638	1571	2721

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.