Statistics Profile

David Knizhnik

2006

Jovanovic Fencing OnTarget Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2593	1787 - 3398	2593	2593
Épée	Direct elimination	2317	1387 - 3246	2317	2317
Foil	Pool	2986	2811 - 3160	1544	3088
Foil	Direct elimination	3138	2967 - 3308	2132	3138

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.