Statistics Profile

Meghan Smith

2007

Olde Town Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1980	1389 - 2570	1685	1980
Épée	Direct elimination	2271	1209 - 3332	1987	2271
Foil	Pool	1228	855 - 1600	1228	1672
Foil	Direct elimination	1641	935 - 2346	1641	2089

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.