Statistics Profile

Daniel Magda

2002

Drew University NCAA Advance Fencing And Fitness Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2360	2183 - 2536	2230	2449
Épée	Direct elimination	2034	1690 - 2377	1995	2908
Saber	Pool	1098	267 - 1928	1098	1098
Saber	Direct elimination	1980	700 - 3259	1980	1980

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.