Statistics Profile

Matthew Kim

2005

Tim Morehouse Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	839	110 - 1567	839	839
Épée	Direct elimination	2291	816 - 3765	2291	2291
Saber	Pool	2456	2290 - 2621	1887	2567
Saber	Direct elimination	2802	2610 - 2993	1475	2874

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.