Statistics Profile

Ian Graham

1998

Georgia Tech University Yellow Jacket Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1916	1298 - 2533	1916	1916
Foil	Direct elimination	2158	1219 - 3096	2158	2158
Saber	Pool	2317	2071 - 2562	1257	2342
Saber	Direct elimination	2422	2064 - 2779	1892	2479

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.