Statistics Profile

Jeremiah Garrard

2010

Bronzeville Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	440	0 - 1007	440	697
Épée	Direct elimination	1102	236 - 1967	1102	1493
Foil	Pool	466	135 - 796	466	958
Foil	Direct elimination	860	223 - 1496	860	1964

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.