Statistics Profile

Andrew Liu

2007
University of California Los Angeles Fencing Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2483 2313 - 2652 1896 2588
Épée Direct elimination 2718 2542 - 2893 2059 3010
Saber Pool 1588 996 - 2179 1588 1721
Saber Direct elimination 1733 585 - 2880 1733 1794

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Log in to compare your projected matchup, or create an account with your USFA number to enable it.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.