Statistics Profile

Chapin Reece

2006

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1829	1382 - 2275	1829	2705
Épée	Direct elimination	1898	1148 - 2647	1819	2001
Foil	Pool	1138	870 - 1405	1138	1581
Foil	Direct elimination	1465	913 - 2016	1465	2003

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.