Statistics Profile

Ryan Barton

2011

Boise Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	626	150 - 1101	626	708
Épée	Direct elimination	1376	305 - 2446	1376	1411
Foil	Pool	1210	653 - 1766	1210	2921
Foil	Direct elimination	1693	811 - 2574	1594	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.