Statistics Profile

Daniel Atefi

2003

Boston Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1625	954 - 2295	1625	1625
Foil	Direct elimination	1703	506 - 2899	1703	1703
Saber	Pool	2700	2526 - 2873	2214	2752
Saber	Direct elimination	2593	2300 - 2885	2046	2705

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.