Statistics Profile

Gregory Peng

1985

Salle Auriol Seattle

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1876	1701 - 2050	1465	2000
Épée	Direct elimination	2252	1996 - 2507	1934	2745
Foil	Pool	1326	689 - 1962	1326	2923
Foil	Direct elimination	1867	784 - 2949	1867	2029
Saber	Pool	1280	1096 - 1463	919	1594
Saber	Direct elimination	615	132 - 1097	546	1869

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.