Statistics Profile

Samuel Tong

2008

Academy Of Fencing Masters (AFM)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1965	1796 - 2133	1829	2690
Épée	Direct elimination	2252	2057 - 2446	1832	2367
Foil	Pool	1614	1068 - 2159	1614	1614
Foil	Direct elimination	1516	733 - 2298	1516	1516

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.