Statistics Profile

Eli Ross

2004

Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1094	285 - 1902	1094	1094
Épée	Direct elimination	2142	1057 - 3226	2142	2142
Saber	Pool	1056	327 - 1784	1056	1081
Saber	Direct elimination	1392	302 - 2481	1392	1392

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.