Statistics Profile

Matthew Clowers

1998

University Of North Texas Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2302	1638 - 2965	2302	2302
Épée	Direct elimination	1596	462 - 2729	1596	1596
Foil	Pool	2995	1699 - 4290	2995	2995
Foil	Direct elimination	2122	689 - 3554	2122	2122

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.