Statistics Profile

Zachary Thornton

2001

Edge of America Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2189	1596 - 2781	1939	2189
Épée	Direct elimination	2061	1070 - 3051	2061	2513
Foil	Pool	2020	1569 - 2470	2020	2261
Foil	Direct elimination	2370	1676 - 3063	1929	2652

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.