Statistics Profile

Nolan Stuessy

2003

University of Alabama in Huntsville Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1366	964 - 1767	1366	1932
Épée	Direct elimination	1926	1338 - 2513	1926	2291
Foil	Pool	1765	766 - 2763	1765	1765
Foil	Direct elimination	2109	1012 - 3205	2109	2109

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.