Statistics Profile

Kaitlyn Beaver

2006
Olympic Epee Masters Rain City Fencing Center

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2073 1887 - 2258 1829 2140
Épée Direct elimination 2219 1888 - 2549 2219 2530
Foil Pool 2137 1965 - 2308 2123 3393
Foil Direct elimination 2164 1937 - 2390 2164 2995
Saber Pool 2216 1601 - 2830 2216 2216
Saber Direct elimination 1841 602 - 3079 1841 1841

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.