Statistics Profile

Owen Price

2007

James Madison University Fencing Club Richmond Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1503	1069 - 1936	1091	1503
Épée	Direct elimination	1590	870 - 2309	1590	1852
Foil	Pool	2075	1896 - 2253	1171	2096
Foil	Direct elimination	2285	2100 - 2469	2002	2620

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.