Statistics Profile

Jonathan Christian

1987

Salle Auriol Seattle

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1832	1301 - 2362	1832	1873
Épée	Direct elimination	1560	521 - 2598	1560	1597
Foil	Pool	1736	1558 - 1913	1736	3477
Foil	Direct elimination	2057	1828 - 2285	2020	2788
Saber	Pool	1760	922 - 2597	1760	1760
Saber	Direct elimination	2259	831 - 3686	2259	2259

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.