Statistics Profile

Harry Weinberg

2007

University of Southern California Trojan Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2089	1603 - 2574	2034	2112
Foil	Direct elimination	2012	1299 - 2724	2011	2468
Saber	Pool	1933	1758 - 2107	1607	2055
Saber	Direct elimination	2165	1955 - 2374	1719	2182

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.