Statistics Profile

Liam Zone

2002

New Mexico Fencing Foundation

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2516	2321 - 2710	2333	2667
Épée	Direct elimination	2816	2528 - 3103	2382	2976
Foil	Pool	1091	594 - 1587	1091	1267
Foil	Direct elimination	1566	452 - 2679	1566	2090

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.