Statistics Profile

Chloe Wu

2008

Cardinal Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2052	1796 - 2307	2010	2240
Épée	Direct elimination	2427	1961 - 2892	2427	2974
Saber	Pool	1018	822 - 1213	1006	1504
Saber	Direct elimination	1044	646 - 1441	1005	2011

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.