Statistics Profile

Jake Nittel

2003

Manchen Academy Of Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3370	2330 - 4409	3370	3370
Épée	Direct elimination	2292	1287 - 3296	2292	2292
Foil	Pool	2052	1818 - 2285	2052	2248
Foil	Direct elimination	2120	1688 - 2551	1290	2120

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.