Statistics Profile

Vernon Collins

2006

Still Point Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2148	1966 - 2329	1567	2214
Épée	Direct elimination	2664	2422 - 2905	1889	2664
Foil	Pool	2081	1489 - 2672	2081	2408
Foil	Direct elimination	1586	841 - 2330	1586	1698

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.