Statistics Profile

Noah Schultz

1995

University Of Wyoming Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1460	737 - 2182	1460	2071
Épée	Direct elimination	1844	674 - 3013	1844	2122
Foil	Pool	1721	646 - 2795	1721	1721
Foil	Direct elimination	2183	742 - 3623	2183	2183

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.