Statistics Profile

ERIC LIU

2010

International Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1921	1750 - 2091	1603	1930
Foil	Direct elimination	2077	1886 - 2267	1732	2166
Saber	Pool	1828	1660 - 1995	1304	1909
Saber	Direct elimination	1895	1720 - 2069	1827	2170

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.