Statistics Profile

Raymond Jiang

2007

City of Thunder FC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1718	1463 - 1972	1531	1800
Épée	Direct elimination	2368	1972 - 2763	2150	2513
Foil	Pool	1557	1273 - 1840	1549	2022
Foil	Direct elimination	1417	735 - 2098	1387	2232

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.