Statistics Profile

Marc Bartels

2007

Metro Tacoma Fencing Club Kaizen Academy LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2071	1897 - 2244	1555	2071
Épée	Direct elimination	2200	1938 - 2461	1869	2200
Foil	Pool	1883	1667 - 2098	1538	1894
Foil	Direct elimination	2012	1595 - 2428	1904	2243

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.