Statistics Profile

Thomas Collum

2004

Nashville Elite Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2278	1784 - 2771	2166	2278
Épée	Direct elimination	2629	1942 - 3315	2035	2629
Foil	Pool	1660	1446 - 1873	1481	1790
Foil	Direct elimination	1827	1418 - 2235	1109	2011

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.