Statistics Profile

John Harney

1956

Nazlymov Fencing Foundation

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1435	864 - 2005	1435	1917
Épée	Direct elimination	1646	463 - 2828	1646	1646
Saber	Pool	831	238 - 1423	831	1202
Saber	Direct elimination	1508	502 - 2513	1508	1916

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.