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Statistics Profile

Jose-Arnel Ortega

2006
University Of Florida Fencing Club
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2044 1520 - 2567 2044 2044
Épée Direct elimination 1884 727 - 3040 1884 1884
Foil Pool 2248 2067 - 2428 1994 2570
Foil Direct elimination 2496 2252 - 2739 2090 2496
Saber Pool 1764 1368 - 2159 1475 1888
Saber Direct elimination 2354 1839 - 2868 1363 2416

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.