Statistics Profile

Jose-Arnel Ortega

2006

University Of Florida Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2048	1525 - 2570	2048	2048
Épée	Direct elimination	1884	727 - 3040	1884	1884
Foil	Pool	2248	2067 - 2428	1994	2570
Foil	Direct elimination	2496	2252 - 2739	2090	2496
Saber	Pool	1762	1366 - 2157	1475	1888
Saber	Direct elimination	2354	1839 - 2868	1363	2416

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.