Statistics Profile

Sarah Antebi

2005

West Berkeley Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1878	1419 - 2336	1720	1878
Foil	Direct elimination	1796	890 - 2701	1552	1960
Saber	Pool	1129	479 - 1778	1129	1426
Saber	Direct elimination	1789	684 - 2893	1789	2139

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.