Statistics Profile

John Wilhelm

1959

Rising Stars Sports

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1395	755 - 2034	1395	1395
Épée	Direct elimination	1261	223 - 2298	1261	1261
Foil	Pool	1073	467 - 1678	1073	1073
Foil	Direct elimination	1665	438 - 2891	1665	1665

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.