Statistics Profile

Ayda Seal

2010

Valkyrie Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	592	0 - 1231	592	592
Épée	Direct elimination	1362	559 - 2164	1362	1362
Foil	Pool	1250	1079 - 1420	845	1708
Foil	Direct elimination	1648	1406 - 1889	1212	1858
Saber	Pool	1105	910 - 1299	768	1318
Saber	Direct elimination	1390	1037 - 1742	827	2016

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.