Statistics Profile

Grace Rydman

2006

Portland Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1764	1379 - 2148	1171	1806
Épée	Direct elimination	1749	1128 - 2369	1549	1959
Foil	Pool	1497	1308 - 1685	1114	1579
Foil	Direct elimination	1804	1451 - 2156	1725	2101

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.