Statistics Profile

rafael saldanha

2009

Cobra Fencing Club LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1313	473 - 2152	1313	1313
Foil	Direct elimination	2059	666 - 3451	2059	2059
Saber	Pool	1343	642 - 2043	1343	1343
Saber	Direct elimination	1977	693 - 3260	1977	1977

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.